Investment Intelligence · Nairobi
Independent, data‑led analysis of Nairobi real estate — pricing, yields, pipeline and policy across Westlands, Kilimani, Lavington, Karen and Syokimau — written by the desk that negotiates in this market every week.
The Coverage
Four disciplines, one standard: if we can’t evidence it, we don’t publish it.
Why This Desk Is Different
Most market commentary in Nairobi is marketing wearing a research badge. Ours is built the slower way — and it reads differently because it is.
We track asking‑to‑achieved spreads, service charges and void periods from our own transactions and managed portfolio — not recycled listing feeds.
Every submarket we cover is one we let, sell and manage in. If a building has a water problem, our analysts hear about it before the market does.
Built from the ground up by a sole founder. No franchise targets, no developer sponsorships, no paid placements. When a market cools, we say so.
Prefer the analysis applied to your own portfolio? That’s the consultation.
Start Here
New to the market — or recalibrating? Read these in order before anything else.
Where net yields actually sit across Westlands, Kilimani, Lavington, Karen and Syokimau — and why the gross figure in the listing is fiction.
Foundational report · 18 minA buyer’s framework for developer risk: escrow, completion history, exit assumptions — and the discount that isn’t one.
Framework · 12 minFrom registry search to completion: the nine checks that must clear before your money moves.
Checklist · 10 minEditor’s Pick
Apartment completions along the Kilimani–Kindaruma corridor fall sharply from their 2024 high this year. Rents have found a floor; sale prices haven’t caught up with it. That lag is a window — and it won’t stay open long.
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The Reference Shelf
The unglamorous questions, answered properly and revised as the rules change.
Every shilling between offer and keys.
What happens, in what order, and where it stalls.
The maths, worked both ways.
The minimum standard. Accept nothing less.
Where the premium is real and where it evaporates.
The checks that actually predict default.
The 15% everyone rounds to — and the adjustments that matter.
The evidence on overpricing, and what it costs sellers here.
The difference between a trust account and a promise.
What to test before you sign the acceptance.
The Briefing
One email a month: the numbers that moved, what they mean, and what we’d do about them. No listings. No noise. Written by the founder.
One click, one email — we’ll add you to next month’s issue. Unsubscribe any time.
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